I think it’s my turn to ponder the future of radio.
The difference a reader might find here is I have no expertise or even strong knowledge of the business end outside of the broadcast booth or the board. Half of my time in this field has been in radio with the other in TV and digital. In all, the commercial end of any platform tends to inspire me into a yawn fest followed by a lengthy session of eye rolling.
Don’t get me wrong. I appreciate and respect those in all parts of the business but I have no interest in it like I have no interest in basketball, gardening, or square dancing. They are all fine for others, not me.
But I do pay attention and I do wonder: where are we and where are we going? I mean, AM radio traditionally leans older and FM has to constantly battle with streaming and subscription music so what is keeping or will keep terrestrial radio on the airwaves?
The question is sincere. I am not acting as an innocent or faking my naivete. If the fuel is running out, what feeds the flame? And that’s my main question. Is the fuel running out?
Months ago, I suggested that radio needs a new model, a fresh way of doing things.
That softer point, perhaps, needs to be sharpened a bit.
What does the future hold? Is there a future at all? I am not talking about jobs in the business or the shrinking of the industry over time. That’s a foregone conclusion.
Now I’m talking about extinction.
The AM/FM bands have had a great run but you’ll have a hard time convincing me they’re healthy. Look — well listen actually — to what is left on our dials and ask yourself about survivability. What is there that is palatable in the long term?
We all knew when it was time for 8-tracks to make way for cassettes which then had to make way for CDs but all those were anchored by what came before them and most think would always be there.
AM radio offers a standard fare for the wider audience and it appears to be all if not safe and predictable. Syndicated programming and positional talk shows are pretty much anywhere you can find a signal. Local content, where it still remains, seems to be threatened at every turn.
So, if your core audience is older what happens when they’re gone? We’re not teaching the next generations to listen to or even become accustomed to the dial. Who is out there inspiring and gathering new listeners?
My kid is 22 and there’s about as much interest in radio there as there is in watching a network TV show at the precise day and time it first airs. (Even I don’t do that anymore).
This is still a big business so is there a salvation plan afoot?
I’m serious. What’s the plan? All I see or hear is the occasional talk of divestments or new partnerships and the exciting new potential streams of revenue that are on the horizon. And that’s where it stops.
What’s actually materializing?
In discussions I’ve had with regular people (those who don’t work in this game), radio has no real place in their lives. Podcasts do for some, television — digital and linear — do too, but turning the radio on in the car and hitting the AM button just doesn’t happen with any habit or regularity.
Perhaps that is partially because AM radio is less and less driven by personality and more by news and information and the shows that draw from that news and information, no matter how they choose to compress or distort it. Oh yeah, and paid programming that few, if any, want to listen to, “but they gave us money”.
So many of your average one host shows tend to talk at the listener, reciting, even orating their jottings on a particular subject. The two-host format more commonly just presents a conversation between themselves and simply allows whoever is within earshot to listen in, excluding and often alienating them until it’s time to take listener calls.
I suppose there’s an attraction somewhere in all that but let’s be blunt; those who find it attractive are going to die off and there will not be a throng to follow in their stead.
The FM offers a slight advantage, I suppose, because there are some wildly entertaining local morning shows on music stations. And they are personality driven. They are fun for most of us. Also, there is more NPR on the FM side which, no matter your social or political leanings, offers the best use of sound anyone can find. (My opinion, prove me wrong.)
Devotees to radio should not be reduced to a mere gaggle of people reaching back for what’s going to become times gone by. But I suppose that will require some hard work, dedication and creativity on everyone’s part.
As opposed to what seems to be happening a lot; the sales people saying that they have nothing to sell and the programmers chastising the sales staff for not selling.
This is not a call for criticism…it’s a lament.
By the way, the last car I bought came completely without a CD player, much less the 10-CD changer I had in my 1994 T-Bird. How long before there’s no radio in my car? And how much will I care?